Telescope Investing

Episode 92

E92: EOS Energy Milestone Drama & What Does High Conviction Mean?

11 August 2025

Here's what happens when a battery stock becomes 45% of your portfolio, Tesla's financials take a nosedive, and cybersecurity gets swept up in an M&A frenzy.

Also in this episode:

😬 High-Stakes Gamble: Monkey is facing a crucial milestone for EOS Energy, a stock that now makes up 45% of his portfolio. Will it soar on good news or is he facing massive dilution?

🤝 Cybersecurity Gold Rush: An M&A free-for-all is hitting the tech world. We dive into the acquisition rumors sending CyberArk soaring and what it means for the entire sector.

📉 A Painful Lesson: Novo Nordisk just crashed over 20%. We use it to explore technical analysis and why you MUST respect the charts, no matter how good the story is.

🤖 Tesla's Teflon Stock: Revenues are down, and margins are collapsing, yet $TSLA stock barely moved. We debate whether Tesla has permanently become a "story stock" where fundamentals no longer matter.

🎯 What Is "Conviction"? We pull back the curtain on our 1-10 conviction rating system. Learn how we score our investments, from risky moonshots to stable cash cows.

🧠 Save Yourself from Yourself: Why you literally can't challenge your own investing beliefs and how finding your "Socrates" is essential to avoid catastrophic blind spots.

🎸 Sausage Roll Economics: Luke’s last-minute Oasis adventure and why the price of a concert ticket (460 sausage rolls) explains everything you need to know about the economy.

Sources: Dividend Talk podcast link: https://open.spotify.com/episode/0eYzOGMYyDLBIfTFN8hXaJ?si=bxHvoRoiSBivMtH8x-sFPw&nd=1&dlsi=863b756ac1b24c27

Segments: 00:00 Cold Open 01:40 EOS Energy Milestone Drama & CEO Pay Raise Analysis 09:45 CyberArk Acquisition Rumors & M&A Deregulation 16:25 Novo Nordisk Technical Analysis Masterclass 24:30 Tesla's Disconnect Between Story & Fundamentals 36:50 Investment Conviction Deep Dive 47:20 Reading Earnings Calls Like Poker Tells 49:40 Oasis Concert & Italian Convent Philosophy 54:10 The Socratic Method for Investors

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