Telescope Investing

Episode 122

We Got Lied To By $EOSE, Here's What We're Doing About It +$ODD + $MELI

8 March 2026

The Good, The Bad & The Ugly β€” EOS Energy misses massively, Oddity Tech loses 49% in a day, and Mercado Libre goes nowhere for five years. We dig into three portfolio battle scars and what every investor can learn from them. Plus: WSW hits #19 on Pod Ranker's Top 25 investing podcasts, and an Alex Honnold-inspired lesson on managing fear as an investor.

πŸ“‰ The Good, The Bad & The Ugly β€” EOS Energy misses massively, Oddity Tech loses 49% in a day, and Mercado Libre goes nowhere for five years. Luke and Krzysztof dig into three portfolio battle scars and what every investor can learn from them.

πŸ’₯ EOS Energy: Betrayal or Gray Area? β€” Monkey breaks down the emotional rollercoaster after EOS missed guidance by 30-40%, supply failures, yield problems, and insider selling. Was this management fraud, or an ethical gray area? Should you stay or sell?

πŸ“Š Mercado Libre: 5 Years, Zero Gains β€” MELI has delivered great fundamentals β€” revenue up 400%+ β€” but the stock price is down ~6% over five years. Luke defends the long-term thesis while Krzysztof challenges whether "feeling good" about a company is enough when the price says otherwise.

πŸ’„ Oddity Tech: Black Swan or Fat Pitch? β€” A Meta algorithm shift wrecked Oddity's customer acquisition model overnight, sending the stock down nearly 70% from its highs. Krzysztof makes the case that a company trading near its cash balance, with 25% revenue growth and 70% repeat customers, might be a rare, asymmetric opportunity.

🧠 Managing Fear Like a Free Climber β€” a powerful insight from Alex Honnold's interview on Diary of a CEO: the goal isn't to eliminate fear β€” it's to develop a relationship with it so you can act rationally when it creeps in. A must-listen for any investor navigating volatility.

βš–οΈ Portfolio Allocation: The Bear Trap You Set for Yourself β€” Luke delivers some tough love: if a single stock's earnings can leave you emotionally wrecked, your allocation is too high. Hard limits, tax tail, and house money fallacies all get unpacked.

πŸ† We Made the Top 25! β€” Wall Street Wildlife lands at #19 on Pod Ranker's list of the best investing podcasts in the world, alongside We Study Billionaires, Motley Fool Money, and Invest Like the Best. The jungle is growing.

Segments: 00:00 Cold Open β€” The Bear Trap 00:49 Welcome & Episode Overview 03:06 The Good: Top 25 Investing Podcast 07:16 EOS Energy: Setting the Scene 10:32 The Miss β€” Guidance vs. Reality 13:27 Supply Failures, Yield Issues & Insider Selling 17:00 Lie by Omission? The PayPal Analogy 20:05 Should You Sell If You Distrust Management? 27:29 Luke's Psychiatrist Moment: Portfolio Allocation 33:20 Mercado Libre: 5 Years, No Returns 36:26 The Fundamentals vs. Price Action Debate 40:05 Squeezing Luke's Shoes 46:41 Oddity Tech: Record Results Meet Technical Storm 50:00 Meta's Algorithm Dislocation Explained 54:17 Is Oddity a Fat Pitch or a Black Box? 57:21 Warren Buffett on Fear & Cheap Stocks 01:04:00 Patreon Update 01:04:55 King of the Jungle Portfolio β€” The Ugly Chart 01:07:40 Climbing Without Fear: Alex Honnold & Investing Psychology 01:11:39 Wrapping Up β€” Three Investing Ideas: EOSE, ODD, MELI

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